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A description of the content follows : We got some more answers regarding our concern about SpongeTech's (SPNG) potential share dilution. Some questions, however, didn't get answered. Here's our take on the whole thing.

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Small Cap Network Blog

8/12/2008

SpongeTech (SPNG) Responds to Concerns of Dilution and Loans

Filed under: — SmallCapNetwork Editor @ 9:02 am

Well, I’m not entirely surprised to see this morning’s letter from SpongeTech (SPNG) CEO Michael Metter. (We may have even helped prompt it.) It was a follow-up letter to the recent 8K, in which we learned more about the stock-as-collateral loan from RM Enterprises. My take? Metter answers some of the concerns by making a good point, but other questions still aren’t answered.

In the company’s defense, the stock is restricted, so it’s not going to be sold anytime soon. That’s good for current owners. I’m not sure how much longer it’s restricted (I think the issue dates are staggered), but I think Metter and the management team do recognize that if they do sell it, it will likely drive the price under what they paid for it…..which was something around 1.9 cents. That’s a plus for shareholders.

The letter still doesn’t answer the question about why stock had to be put up (newly issued, no less) as collateral for the loan. Why not just a regular debt loan? If it’s going to be repaid internally, what’s the difference?

He also pointed out that the odds of them getting a bank loan were nil. No argument there - that’s pretty much the case with any upstart. I have no issue with that fact.

One thing that’s been obvious but so far unstated….for as much dilution and discounted stock purchases - potential or otherwise - we’ve seen, the guys running the company are putting up and risking their own money. If it were someone else’s money, I’d be completely unimpressed. They’re putting their money where their mouth is though.

Still no explanation yet on authorizing the additional 400 million shares. As I mentioned before, why do it if you’re not going to need it?

Bottom line? The question is simple - will the per-share value be greater with the benefit of this dilution, or would we have been better off without dilution of the per-share value, knowing that sales would have been considerably weaker? (Which is the lesser of two evils?)

My math says just accept the dilution and the uncertainty of the stock buy-back, as it’s still a better reward than no growth (which has been funded by the dilution). I’m still not wild about it, but you have to keep the bigger picture in mind.

The only downside I see is that the market’s probably not going to be interested in being a net buyer of SPNG until some of these potential dilutive forces are taken off the table (i.e. RM’s stock is bought back). That makes this a long-term idea, which is fine since they’re also going to be doing $30 million in sales over the next 18 months. This should be a long-term idea.

Here’s the letter.

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2 Comments »

  1. The letter no longer exists at the link you posted. Could you post another copy of it?

    Editor’s response: Unfortunately, I don’t have a copy either. Sorry. Does anybody out there have a record of it? Post it as a message here and I’ll approve it as a comment.

    Comment by freemarkets4ever — 10/7/2009 @ 12:57 pm

  2. Hi, I was wondering if you could give a breakdown of where the sales backlog has come from. I believe Dubai was a big chunk? Thanks.

    Editor’s response: Good point. Yes, Dubai and S.A. Trading are their two biggest (and only) customers I seem to recall. I don’t think one is significantly bigger than the other. Either way, that’s still a lot of concentration.

    However, when in doubt, go to the 1-Q, right? Here’s what I pulled out of the latest SEC filing…

    We have derived, and believe that we will continue to derive, a significant portion of our revenues from a limited number of customers. To the extent that any significant customer purchases less of our products or terminates its relationship with us, our revenues could decline significantly. As a result, the loss of any significant customer could seriously harm our business. For the fiscal year ended May 31, 2008, we had three separate customers which accounted for 31.6%, 29.3% and 9.7% of our revenues….Other than under existing contractual obligations, none of our customers is obligated to purchase additional products from us. As a result, the volume of sales that we make to a specific customer is likely to vary from period to period, and a significant customer in one period may not purchase our products in a subsequent period.

    I don’t know who that 9.7% buyer is, but I’m certain the two big ones are Dubai and S.A. Trading.

    Risky? Yeah, but both of those customers have come back for more, wanting bigger quantities with subsequent orders. I do know they’re working on other avenues or distributors, but I don’t know if any of them are on board yet. As for being over-concentrated, I don’t see it being as big of a risk for SpongeTech as I do for other companies. Bear in mind they’re also developing other products right now, which will appeal to different distributors.

    Thanks for bringing it up - that’s something we need to keep tabs on.

    Comment by Derek H — 9/5/2008 @ 3:29 am

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