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Did
SpongeTech Swing to Profit? |
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Last
week I mentioned SpongeTech Delivery Systems (OTCBB:
SPNG) was nearing the announcement of their third quarter numbers.
We saw a pretty big jump during Q2, but between December 1st and February
28th, even more things fell into place in terms of sales. Based on the
forecast and backlog, we should be seeing seven-figure quarters now.
Well,
today's the day we find out of all the efforts are bearing fruit - they
announced their quarterly earnings just a few moments ago. At the same
time, we'll find out just how much input (expenses) had to be mustered
to get the output (revenue) achieved.
More
specifically, we knew the company issued some stock in the previous quarter
to pay for the early marketing efforts. We suspected there may be more
of the same for Q3. The question was, how much would it take? And more
importantly to you and me, would it be worth it?
We'll
look at both sides of the equation today; you can decide for yourself.
Please do so though ...I guarantee you it's at least worth a read.
OK,
here are the basics ....compared to Q2's $331K in revenue, this quarter's
$1.28 million is huge. For the first nine months of the fiscal year, that
totals up to sales of $1.56 million.
For
the Q2 period (ending 11/30), SpongeTech saw a little net income, and for
the six month period (Q1 and Q2), they saw a slight loss ..negligible in
both cases. Well, for Q3, net income came in at $188K...their best quarter
yet.
Annualized
(though
the company is still exponentially growing their top line), that's
a revenue run rate of $5.1 million per year - and they're profitable. Moreover,
based on this most recent quarter, that 12-18 month backlog of +$18 million
now seems more than plausible.
Impressive?
Yeah, I can't deny that - it's an impressive increase. Like I said though,
being in business is all about getting more out of the investment than
you put in. Keep reading for the other side of the equation.
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At
What Price? (It's All About the Valuation) |
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OK,
we have to give credit where it's due - SpongeTech's advertising and
marketing efforts are indeed driving new business.
The
question we asked last time though was the same one we'll ask now...how
are they paying for all the advertising? If they're spending $1 to
make $2, then great. Heck, I don't mind them spending $1 to make $1, it
that's what will jump-start the revenue machine. The only thing I don't
want to see is them spending $2 to make $1 on a one-time basis. (You
might be surprised how many companies do just that.)
In
perusing last quarter's 10Q, we found they'd issued 42 million shares to
finance the operation - mostly the television commercial. Though as investors
it would have been nice to know about it beforehand, we're not naive enough
to think they can get something for nothing. The assumption was they'd
issue more stock to continue advertising in Q3.
So,
I'll reiterate the primary question here....how much stock issuance
did it take to produce more than a triple in the top line in addition to
decisive profits?
According
to the filing, the number of issued and outstanding shares is now 193 million.
That's more than the 111 million I&O shares reported at the end of
November. Just so you know though, that 193 million is less than
I expected - they didn't need as much capital as I figured they would.
The market cap is still only $6.08 million.
Part
of me can't stand any dilution, and I was fully prepared to get on my soapbox
and say so. After thinking about the numbers above though, another part
of me thinks maybe I was holding the company to an unrealistic valuation
standard. You do have to spend money to make money, and you have
to raise money to spend it.
So,
here's the bottom line valuation in terms we're all certainly familiar
with ....an annualized P/S ratio of 1.2, and an annualized P/E ratio of
8.08. For reference, the market averages are a P/S ratio of 2.0, and a
P/E of 17.9. Maybe the question we should be asking isn't even 'How
many shares are issued?', but rather 'Is this stock valued appropriately?'
As
I said early on, I'll let you decide. As far as I'm concerned though, a
P/S of 1.2 and a P/E of 8.08 is considerably better than a lot of other
opportunities out there - especially when the growth potential is
being realized. If the recent surge is a clue, the rest of the market agrees.
Just
click here for the 10-Q.
By
the way, note that Spicy Pickle (OTCBB:
SPKL) will be hosting a conference call tomorrow ...their first
ever. Details are in the press release below.
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Spicy
Pickle(TM) Announces Investor Conference Call on Wednesday, 4:15 PM Eastern
Time
DENVER, CO--(MARKET
WIRE)--Apr 14, 2008 -- Spicy Pickle Franchising, Inc. (OTCBB:
SPKL) will host an investor conference call Wednesday, April 16, 2008
at 4:15 PM Eastern.
During the conference
call, Marc Geman, Chief Executive Officer of Spicy Pickle Franchising,
Inc., will discuss the highlights of 2007 and an outlook for the coming
year.
Date: Wednesday,
April 16, 2008
Time:
4:15 PM ET
3:15 PM CT
2:15 PM MT
1:15 PM PT
Call: (866) 696-5897
(US/Canada) and (416) 641-6128 (International)
About Spicy Pickle(TM):
Founded in 1999,
Spicy Pickle Franchising, Inc. (OTCBB:
SPKL) serves high quality meats and fine artisan breads, baked fresh
daily, along with a wide choice of eight different cheeses, twenty-two
different toppings, and fourteen proprietary spreads to create healthy
and delicious panini and sub sandwiches with flavors from around the world.
As a leading "fast-casual" concept, Spicy Pickle(TM) offers menu items
that are far beyond traditional fast food -- but without the price point
of casual dining. The hallmark of a Spicy Pickle(TM) restaurant is quality,
service and an enjoyable atmosphere. The company is headquartered in Denver,
Colorado, with restaurants open or under construction across 16 states
and many more in development nationwide. For more about Spicy Pickle(TM),
including franchise information and inquiries, visit http://www.spicypickle.com.
Forward-Looking
Statements:
Certain statements
in this press release, including statements regarding the number of restaurants
we intend to open, are forward-looking statements. We use words such as
"anticipate," "believe," "could," "should," "estimate," "expect," "intend,"
"may," "predict," "project," "target," and similar terms and phrases, including
references to assumptions, to identify forward-looking statements. The
forward-looking statements in this press release are based on information
available to us as of the date any such statements are made and we assume
no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. These statements
are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results
to differ materially from those described in the statements. These risks
and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following: factors
that could affect our ability to achieve and manage our planned expansion,
such as the availability of a sufficient number of suitable new restaurant
sites and the availability of qualified franchisees and employees; risks
relating to our expansion into new markets; the risk of food-borne illnesses
and other health concerns about our food products; changes in the availability
and costs of food; changes in consumer preferences, general economic conditions
or consumer discretionary spending; the impact of federal, state or local
government regulations relating to our franchisees and employees, and the
sale of food or alcoholic beverages; the impact of litigation; our ability
to protect our name and logo and other proprietary information; the potential
effects of inclement weather; the effect of competition in the restaurant
industry; and other risk factors described from time to time in our SEC
reports.
Contact:
COMPANY CONTACT:
Marc Geman CEO
Spicy Pickle
Franchising, Inc.
303-951-2530
Source: Spicy
Pickle Franchising, Inc. |
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