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Where's
the Small Cap Pick? |
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If
you're wondering where our new small cap idea is, don't worry - we didn't
forget it. We learned in the meantime the company would be announcing
earnings this week. Given the opportunity to see more results before
we
put the name out there, we opted to hold off.
I know
what you may be thinking...the earnings news may well be a bullish
catalyst. Yeah, maybe, but that's not the 'big one' we see brewing
- the earnings news may just be a little appetizer before the main course.
Once we review the 10Q and any new fine print, then we'll make a decision
to put the stock on our watchlist. Even then, we may hold off on an actual
trade alert until the time is right (i.e. let's see if the news is actually
as big as we think it could be).
We
know we're being picky, but that's the difference between good and great.
The market hasn't been rewarding anything less than 'outstanding'
lately.
In
the meantime, we've got another round of good news from a small cap stock
that's already proven to be a winner.
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The
Spicy Pickle Train Just Keeps on Rolling |
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I'm
running out of analogies to describe Spicy Pickle's (OTCBB:
SPKL) methodical growth. That's a good thing though, since it means
there's plenty of progress. The latest mental picture I drew in my head
compares Spicy Pickle to Tiger Woods.
Whether
you're a golf fan or not, you probably know bigger-than-life Tiger
Woods is known as much for his intense focus as he is his incredible
skill. No matter what, Tiger plays the same aggressive mental game. Leading
by 10 strokes? Doesn't matter. On the verge of missing the cut?
Doesn't
matter. Bad weather? Doesn't matter. Meaningless tournament?
Doesn't matter. He keeps his eye on the prize, and his mind on the means
to get him there.
Likewise,
Spicy Pickle has stayed on the same path of progress they started on in
the latter part of last year. And that couldn't have been easy to do. The
market has been falling apart at the seams, we're in a recession (by my
judgment), and we're truly toying with a bear market. Yet, we keep hearing
announcement after announcement about new Spicy Pickle franchisees joining
the team, and new location leases being signed.
Why
do you think that is?
Today's
news isn't likely to shock any of you at this point. Five new storefront
leases have been signed. Three of them are going to the first Spicy Pickles
in their state, while the other two will be one of the first few in their
area.
Congratulations
Brooklyn, Edmond, and Ocala residents. Your cities are going to play host
to the first Spicy Pickles in New York, Oklahoma, and Florida (respectively).
They should be operational by early summer.
Congrats
also go out to San Diego, California as well as Austin, Texas. You're now
slated to get your second and third restaurants (again, respectively).
I don't think either location has the most-recently leased stores up and
running yet, but there's no need to delay progress. Look for their grand
openings in late spring.
As
far as the stock is concerned, it's tough to complain. SPKL is basically
where it was in early November. Sure it'd be nice to have a double between
then and now. However, considering the market is more than 8% lower
for the same timeframe, I'm pleased with the relative strength.
Chart-wise
we now have a pretty clear horizontal support line right around $1.12.
We've pulled back to there (or near there) four times now over the
last three months - with the fourth one being today. All four times the
buyers have stepped up to the plate. As long as shares can hold that line
I'll be satisfied. It's all about staying in the hunt during a tough environment,
so you can pounce when the environment turns more productive.
I don't
know how many of you do it, but I think everybody should. What I'm
talking about is paying attention to sectors and industries.
When
I first read about Bill O'Neil's CANSLIM methodology, I confess
I blew it off. A couple of years later - for whatever reason - I
started to incorporate the clues found in new (and old) sector/industry
leadership. I swear it's made a very big difference in my results.
Care
to know which two areas are the only ones with decent results over the
last 52 weeks? I don't think it's a coincidence they're also the leaders
(by far) for the last month. The two groups are energy, and basic materials.
I doubt anybody is surprised. More importantly, based on their current
relative strength (coupled with the economic environment we're in) I think
those two sectors may offer a little more opportunity than others in the
coming months.
Energy:
Even though oil eased off its all-time high close above $100, the crunch
is still on. I like the drillers and service/equipment areas a little better
than the refiners. However, there's a lot of overlap there.
Simultaneously,
it seems like alternative energy stocks come back into focus whenever
oil prices spike. Solar power stocks saw a huge run-up late last
year, and are getting pushed into the spotlight again now that there's
some pain at the gas pump. One of these days I think these stocks are going
to come into focus and stay there. That was one of my
market predictions for the year, and I'm sticking to my story.
Basic
Materials: Some of the strength here can be attributed to inflation.
The Fed is somewhat locked into low rates as they try and stave off a recession
(good
luck to 'em), which unchains inflationary pressures. That's not a problem
that's gonna' fix itself in just a few days.
Gold,
platinum, and other precious metals are through the roof - all interesting
ideas in my opinion. However, one of the more obscure areas I'm looking
at is chemicals. Believe it or not, they're actually leading
the basic materials charge (subtracting the non-precious-metal stocks).
I think they may have more longevity - and less volatility - than
gold or platinum.
No
specific ideas here - just a little encouragement to think 'bigger picture'
about basic materials, energy, solar power, and chemicals.
Anyway,
here's the Spicy Pickle news release.
Spicy
Pickle(tm) Announces Five New Lease Signings For Franchise Locations
New Locations
Will Mark First Stores in Three New States
Wednesday, February
20, 2008, 4:10 PM ET
DENVER, CO--(MARKET
WIRE)-February 20, 2008 -- Spicy Pickle(tm) fast casual restaurants (OTC
BB: SPKL.OB) today announced five of its franchisees have recently
signed leases for new locations.
Today's announcement
marks Spicy Pickles first locations in Florida, Oklahoma, and New York.
The other two lease signings represent a second location in San Diego,
California and a third location in Austin, Texas.
Spicy Pickle will
enter the New York metro area with a Brooklyn store. Located at 143 Montague
St, Brooklyn NY 11201, this location is adjacent to the Federal Court House
in Brooklyn, several Universities, and a number of large, white-collar
office buildings.
Edmond, Oklahoma,
just North of Oklahoma City will be getting its first location. The Spicy
Pickle restaurant will be located in Spring Creek Village at 1389 E 15th
St, Edmond, Oklahoma 73013.
Florida will also
be the recipient of its first location. The first Florida Spicy Pickle
will open in the Northern Florida community of Ocala. The store will be
found at the Market Street at Heathbrook, 4414 SW College Road #1020, Ocala,
Florida, 34474.
The last two of
the five new locations will mark the second San Diego, California store
and the third Austin, Texas store.
The new San Diego
location is just south of the Little Italy area and adjacent to the downtown
financial district. The store is located in the Aperture Building at 1454
Union Street, San Diego CA 92101.
The third Austin
store is located at the 1890 Ranch at 1335 E Whitestone Blvd, Cedar Park,
Texas, 78613.
The new locations
in San Diego and Edmond are expected to open in the late spring. The other
three new locations should open sometime in the early summer.
Marc Geman, CEO
of Spicy Pickle commented "We always try to be very careful about getting
the right location, and this is particularly important for a first restaurant
in a new area. Our hard work has paid off with these five leases which
will bring the Spicy Pickle to three new states. Our restaurants have always
generated additional interest in the area where they are located. We look
forward to further expansion in Florida, Oklahoma and New York in the near
future."
About Spicy Pickle(tm):
Founded in 1999,
Spicy Pickle Franchising, Inc. (OTCBB: SPKL) serves high quality meats
and fine artisan breads, baked fresh daily, along with a wide choice of
eight different cheeses, twenty-two different toppings, and fourteen proprietary
spreads to create healthy and delicious panini and sub sandwiches with
flavors from around the world. As a leading "fast-casual" concept, Spicy
Pickle(tm) offers menu items that are far beyond traditional fast food
-- but without the price point of casual dining. The hallmark of a Spicy
Pickle(tm) restaurant is quality, service and an enjoyable atmosphere.
The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado, with restaurants open
or under construction across 16 states and many more in development nationwide.
For more about Spicy Pickle(tm), including franchise information and inquiries,
visit http://www.spicypickle.com.
Forward-Looking
Statements:
Certain statements
in this press release, including statements regarding the number of restaurants
we intend to open, are forward-looking statements. We use words such as
"anticipate," "believe," "could," "should," "estimate," "expect," "intend,"
"may," "predict," "project," "target," and similar terms and phrases, including
references to assumptions, to identify forward-looking statements. The
forward-looking statements in this press release are based on information
available to us as of the date any such statements are made and we assume
no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. These statements
are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results
to differ materially from those described in the statements. These risks
and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following: factors
that could affect our ability to achieve and manage our planned expansion,
such as the availability of a sufficient number of suitable new restaurant
sites and the availability of qualified franchisees and employees; risks
relating to our expansion into new markets; the risk of food-borne illnesses
and other health concerns about our food products; changes in the availability
and costs of food; changes in consumer preferences, general economic conditions
or consumer discretionary spending; the impact of federal, state or local
government regulations relating to our franchisees and employees, and the
sale of food or alcoholic beverages; the impact of litigation; our ability
to protect our name and logo and other proprietary information; the potential
effects of inclement weather; the effect of competition in the restaurant
industry; and other risk factors described from time to time in our SEC
reports.
COMPANY CONTACT:
Marc Geman, CEO
Spicy Pickle
Franchising, Inc.
303-951-2530
ir@spicypickle.com
Source: Spicy
Pickle Franchising, Inc. |
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Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Email
the Editor
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130 |
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