Penny Stock Analysis

Genta (GETA) and the Tesetaxel Trade

Biotech penny stock Genta doesn't have the right stuff, right now.

Published: July 16, 2009 11:27:34 AM PDT
Rating N/A
Sometimes, with penny stocks, it's more about psychology than it is about values. Take biotech stock Genta Incorporated (OTC:GETA) today as an example... down 14% despite a lack of news - any news - regarding its future (hopefully blockbuster) drugs Genasense or tesetaxel. Genta shares are suggesting a short/bearish trade may be the best way to make money off this stock.

I'll keep this brief - the selloffs are coming a lot easier than the rallies now, and we're starting to make lower lows and lower highs. The selling volume has also picked up the last couple of days. I'm going to take it all at face value.

The key support line broke in late June (see chart). This penny stock had a shot at recovering last week and this week, but the lack of volume let the rebound attempt falter and fall flat on its face. Now it looks like the downtrend has resumed.

It's got to be more than a little frustrating for current or prospective Genta owners, as both the melanoma treatment Genasense (in Phase III) and anticancer therapy tesetaxel (in Phase II) have both shown solid efficacy at their key checkpoints. With most of that good news used up for a while though, there's not apt to be a lot of inspiration for upside movement share-wise.

Even Tuesday's announcement that Genasense's LDH Biomarker had been specifically linked to survival in cancer patients couldn't get the stock going. The lack of reaction may be an omen of what's going on in the back of investor's heads.

Our first bearish/short checkpoint for this penny stock is 25 cents, and then 13 cents if that line fails to hold.

That doesn't mean the interest and chatter isn't there though - Genta is one of the most-discussed stocks on the message boards today. It's just that most of it is negative. Unfortunately, you can't invest in tesetaxel's efficacy... you can only invest in GETA shares.

If you'd like to receive any future commentary or trading alerts on Genta Inc. (GETA), make sure to sign-up for our FREE newsletter here: http://access.smallcapnetwork.com/t.
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